A couple of months ago I mentioned to someone that sales of fine wines were declining (the really expensive stuff). He wasn’t happy. In fact, he robustly disputed my interpretation of the statistic I was quoting. He argued that since it was only the rate of growth that was slowing, fine wine sales were absolutely, well, fine. He was certain that there was no reason to read anything in to this reduced rate of growth and was sure that it was in no way a reaction of consumers to the economic situation (as I was suggesting). Knowing that consumers behave like sheep rather than independently, I suggested that if growth was declining so significantly – it was growing at 24% in March 08 and has dropped to just 1% in the same month this year – it hinted that a turning point might have been reached. If my theory was correct, […]

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